Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.002826 0.003026 0.003243 0.003498 0.003791 0.004119 0.004520
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.002544 0.002817 0.003131 0.003527 0.004021 0.004633 0.005474
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.002312 0.002619 0.002988 0.003476 0.004128 0.005002 0.006341
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.002203 0.002545 0.002975 0.003572 0.004423 0.005670 0.007836
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002105 0.002472 0.002947 0.003637 0.004677 0.006332 0.009619
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001981 0.002351 0.002840 0.003571 0.004720 0.006665 0.010976
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001856 0.002219 0.002705 0.003445 0.004644 0.006767 0.011905
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001784 0.002151 0.002652 0.003434 0.004747 0.007223 0.014026
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001656 0.001999 0.002469 0.003206 0.004453 0.006827 0.013510
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001612 0.001961 0.002447 0.003226 0.004590 0.007351 0.016324
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001590 0.001951 0.002463 0.003307 0.004851 0.008232 0.021849
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001549 0.001913 0.002435 0.003312 0.004967 0.008817 0.027588
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001523 0.001896 0.002441 0.003380 0.005233 0.009957 0.042913
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001480 0.001853 0.002404 0.003371 0.005342 0.010731 0.064925
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001428 0.001795 0.002341 0.003310 0.005329 0.011126 0.093131
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001411 0.001787 0.002356 0.003392 0.005657 0.012947 0.560007
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001390 0.001772 0.002357 0.003448 0.005937 0.014909 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001348 0.001723 0.002300 0.003388 0.005914 0.015499 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001298 0.001660 0.002219 0.003273 0.005732 0.015182 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001271 0.001631 0.002191 0.003262 0.005825 0.016457 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001209 0.001546 0.002068 0.003054 0.005363 0.014325 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001191 0.001530 0.002058 0.003072 0.005516 0.015888 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001184 0.001530 0.002076 0.003146 0.005844 0.019085 NaN